Saturday, March 10, 2007

Here's the deal, those fuckers–

Based on what I've read, and what I've been told, I have no doubt that the REAL and ORIGINAL mission set forth by the Combined Forces was accomplished, just as Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono declared it to be on Tuesday.

All along we were told the incursion onto US Soil by the Special Forces of a foreign nation was solely about the capture of a wanted individual. Yudhoyono and his PMC cronies justify his bombing of the Blue Ridge as a war against evil.

But it was NEVER about Lowell. In fact, it wasn't a 'War on Evil', but a 'War for Oil', and more specifically about controlling the price of oil in the years following peak oil.

For all we know, the Malaysian government took down the Petronas Towers themselves. Although more likely Gulf Cooperation Council and/or OPEC operatives were responsible, knowing they could use a victimized Malaysia to unite the Combined Forces of Southeast Asia, Gulf states and OPEC member nations on the premise of 'catching a handful of Crusaders', when in fact what has unfolded over the past three months flows from much larger strategic calculations.

It doesn't matter that they didn't capture Oliver Lowell. Make no mistake: Neither the embargo nor the incursion was ever about Lowell, and Team Sherpa was NOT sent to North Carolina in order to secure his band of Neo Nazi, Christian Extremist, screwball, ideologues. It was always and only been about leveraging energy assets and expanding spheres of influence.

I know it sounds sarcastic, but in this case it's true:

"It's the oil, stupid."

This cynical conflict has its roots in the war on Iraq and in Afghanistan, which the United States has been executing in order to implement nothing less than the establishment of complete control over all significant sources of oil, especially of the Middle East, which holds roughly two thirds of the world's proven reserves, but also –in the case of Afghanistan– in order to secure safe harbor for the transportation of fuel from the Caspian Sea.

In fact, the use of military power to ensure free flow of oil from the Persian Gulf has been a tenet of U.S. national security strategy for some time now. As you may or may not recall, according to the Carter Doctrine, put forth by President Jimmy Carter in 1980, any effort by a hostile power to block the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf to the U.S. will be viewed as an attack on America's vital interests and will be repelled by any means necessary including military force.

Thirty years later, what's an American President to do when the hostile power in play is not a tyrant with weapons of mass destruction, but in fact competing economic forces created by Globalization?

By far the most 'hostile powers threatening to block the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf to the U.S', (and therefore the important markets for countries like Iran and Saudi Arabia) are CHINA and INDIA.

China is today the world's second largest oil consumer and by 2030 is expected to import as much oil as the U.S. does today. And in order to do that, it must find a way to divert the sale of Gulf oil to Asia from America.

India, too, has grown increasingly interested in signing energy deals with Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. As it turns out, India's engagement with Iran provides the Islamic Republic with an economic lifeline at a time when the West is trying to isolate it, a situation that has necessarily compromised India's relations with the U.S.

It follows that as China and India's dependence on the Middle East grows, they will increasingly challenge U.S. policy there, turning the region from a unipolar region (in which the U.S. enjoys a near uncontested hegemony) into a multipolar system in which more and more global powers vie for influence.

Some may think it might make more sense if the U.S. to directed its aggression towards China (than to Iraq, for instance), but it was thought much easier to secure military presence throughout the Mid East, thereby controlling the flow of oil at the spigot, rather than from Washington, Wall Street or –God Forbid– on the shores of the Yangtze River.

The result is that since 1991, the United States (and Britain) have led relentless assaults on the people of Iraq, using an economic blockade to deny food, medicine and other resources to the Iraqi people that, along with an endless bombing campaign over two-thirds of the country.

But of course, Operation Iraqi Liberation was never about toppling Hussein as much as it was about securing geo-strategic control of the world's second largest proven reserves (before the onset of Peak Oil), and interrupting the momentum the Euro was gaining as an oil transaction currency standard.

Bush and Cheney have long attempted to open the Alaska Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to drilling, but the public would have none of it. I wonder what conservationists expect our government to do? Are American mothers supposed to switch to the power of prayer to get the kids from school to soccer camp?

It says a lot about the American people that they are more willing to invade another sovereign nation –killing upwards of a million people in the process (if the figures are true)– and maintain a large and permanent military presence in the Gulf region– all in the quest for petroleum–, rather than kick up the dirt in their own backyard. Save the reindeer, yes, but the Iraqis? Who gives a flying fuck?

With Iraq under new control, American friendly management would break the OPEC oil cartel once and for all, replacing it perhaps with Halliburton Incorporated, which would power the Dow with the fortunes earned rebuilding Iraq's oil infrastructure.

The twin requirements of U.S. imperial control and the constant feeding of an industrial system based on ever-increasing levels of fossil fuel consumption dovetails with the systematic U.S. attempts to keep Mid East countries from developing solidly independent economies.

In this way the invasion of Iraq serves both the president's energy goals and his foreign policy ones.

It is worth pointing out that Saddam Hussein had offered exploratory concessions (which remained inactive because of the UN sanctions) to France, China, Russia, Brazil, Italy, and Malaysia. If Saddam were replaced by a new client regime –as he has been– obviously WE would supersede these concessions with our own agenda. You think Malaysia is happy with that?

Regardless, the U.S. Empire is predicated on economic control. The control of the flow and pricing of oil is a potent source of such power, as well as a significant source of profits –and we're not about to share that with anyone, if we can help it.

But there's one hitch –or, rather, one of many, as it turns out:

The rest of the world did not perceive the Bush's invasion of Iraq as simply a war on Iraq, but rather on ALL the people of the developing world, if those hailing from energy producers in particular. They speak of it as a war –however bungled– executed by the U.S. solely for the purpose of influencing transnational capital.

The reason the Americans stay in Afghanistan and Iraq is because by crippling OPEC they hope to influence a return to the maintaining dollar hegemony over the world oil economy, before a complete transition to Euros is complete.

In contrast, the Europeans won't do more for the United States, especially even if things are going as badly as they are, is precisely in order to seal the Euro deal. At a time when the U.S. dollar is weak and U.S. national debt is at a historical high the specter of OPEC countries forgoing the dollar in favor of the Euro is a boon to Europeans, more worthy in fact than their membership in NATO or any other alliance in which the United States dominates.

The story is the same across the globe. Money traders say that institutions as diverse as Bank of Canada, People's Bank of China, and Central Bank of Taiwan are giving more weight to the European currency.

The cycling in of Petro-Euros is the price the US has paid for overreaching its empire and treating oil-producing countries as clients instead of partners. The Europeans –ever gracious to the hand that feeds them– will not make the same mistake.

Which is how last summer a coalition of Southeast Asian and Gulf countries (supported by the promise of China's growing economy) took one look at the mess the United States was making in the region and decided to knock Uncle Sam back down on his ass.

Now U.S. domination of the Persian Gulf –if not the world– has gone to shit.

Cheney can hold meetings all day for the next hundred years, if he wants to, with executives from Halliburton, Schlumberger, ExxonMobil, ChevronTexaco and ConocoPhillips to plan the post-war expansion of oil production from Iraq, but little good that will do in the light of this New Asian Century. Arab countries have grown more dependent on imported goods from Europe and Asia rather than the U.S., so they have everything to gain from attempting a shift in power, and little to lose. Multinationals will still benefit from a profit perspective, but they will hold little political influence in the territories where they drill.

Also, OPEC cartel owns 78 percent of the world's proven reserves and produces about 40 percent of its oil. Of course, the Bushies wanted to break its stranglehold, but did anyone think that the OPEC nations were going to sit still while that happened?

So of course OPEC member nations are angry. Of course The Gulf Cooperating Countries are bitter. Of course the Southeast Asians are frustrated, in particular Malaysia. Of course the Indians are enraged. And of course the Chinese are simply high and giddy with the recent turn of events.

Someone likely stepped forwarded immediately after the 7/27 event and posited the idea that the Muslim commonality of the Crusader targets could be used to create a coalition large enough to leverage the western world into doing just about anything it wanted.

Meanwhile, the ongoing effort of Operation Iraqi Freedom to create a democratic government in the Garden of Eden has illuminated a globe tipping problem: the international political framework that reliably produced a steady supply of oil at acceptable prices has now decided to take matters into their own hands.

U.S. global over-reach in the ‘war on terrorism’ and it's heavy handed tactics executed in order to maintain the Petro-Dollar standard after peak oil has in fact served to usurp both diplomatic goals, with devastating results –as we have all seen.

U.S. vulnerability on matters of energy isn't lost on radical Islamic terrorists, or their government backers. They have identified the world energy system as the Achilles' heel of the West and have made attacking it a central part of their plan. One jihadist site notes that killing of 10 American soldiers is nothing compared to the impact of the rise in oil prices on America and the disruption that it causes in the international economy.

The result allows for a remarkable state of global instability making the return of cheap oil a remote outcome. In fact, we will definitely see oil prices escalate to levels once thought impossible, even absurd.

Any fool can see that the 'War on Evil' is a complete fabrication based on the illusion that one man, Oliver Benjamin Lowell, outwitted the $40 billion-a-year American intelligence apparatus. The 'War on Evil' is a war of conquest. Globalization is the final march to the 'New World Order', at first initiated by Wall Street and the U.S. military-industrial complex, but now demanded upon by the developing worlds.

July 27, 2006 provided a justification for waging a war without borders. The Petro-Islamic Military agenda consisted in extending the frontiers of Ottoman Empire aspirations to facilitate complete PMSA (Pan Moslem/Southeast Asia) control, while installing within America some of the aspects of the non-western influence.

What follows is easily foreseeable:

As fuel prices increase consumers will pay more for transportation. The rise in oil prices means slower growth rate, inflation, loss of jobs and burgeoning trade deficits. The biggest casualties should be the developing nations some of whom still carry debts which go all the way back to the oil crises of the 1970s, but their debt will be forgiven as a result of their alliance with the Coalition of Gulf and Southeast Asian countries.

On the other hand, the escalating cost of transporting manufactured goods to, from and within North America will result in a slowdown of economic activity in the United States. Disposable income will drop. For a brief but inescapable period, high Oil prices will serve not only to enrich producer nations, they will most definitely weaken western economies, and by extension, US military capability and political influence.

But if all this were true, the question is why would the Bush administration so willingly allow foreign forces to mount an incursion into US territory?

The answer is simple: Bush is a friend of the Royal Saudi family, and both Bush and Cheney –as former oil executives– hope to continue to be players of some sort as this new world order shakes out. He's certainly okay being known as the President who lied us into war, but he doesn't want to go down in history as the man who stopped the free flow of oil, even if the resulting price of gas goes through the roof.

Not to mention that even if we remain a powerful empire, the US military –at this time– is too weakened by the tandem wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to even think about stopping an incursion on US soil, but not weak enough that the empire will be toppled.

So once you run a cost analysis you realize it's just cheaper to let a few hundred or a few thousand foreign militia freeze their asses off all winter in the mountains, even if a few hundred American citizens get killed along the way.

Bush can do that, not because America is weak but because the US is strong. A horse can't kill every fly that lands on its ass, but that doesn't make a stallion any less a stud.

Speaking of cost analysis, Bush also realizes that oil production -even in the Mid East– will continue to drive profits up for American contractors and subcontractors for years to come (once this is over). Once the embargo ends, he knows its back to business as usual, even if the price at the pump is exorbitant. But so what, if he's actually prevented the nationalization of overseas oil production?

Five bucks a gallon may not be good for America for the American economy, but in the long run it's great for American multinational companies who have arrangements with foreign Energy Producers. The five largest oil companies, pulled in $113 billion in profit in 2005 –compared to a piddly $34 billion in 2002 (before Operation Iraqi Liberation). Now think about how much they're going to make after this conflict!

Bush also knows that if he delivered Lowell to the Coalition members immediately, that would not have dissuaded them from their collective mission, and he would have also set a legal precedent whereby any future rinky-dink nation might step forward with an unreasonable and unsubstantiated extradition claim for a U.S. citizen. Give them Lowell today, and tomorrow they'll come back and ask for Kissinger, Paris Hilton or even you!

Therefore, the best strategy is the current strategy: The United States can only extricate itself from this stalemate by accommodating the presence of foreign forces in U..S territory and let them run around searching for some so-called crusaders. That's why 'Limited Cooperation' is also the most appropriate response to a 'Limited Incursion'.

Of course, the incursion can't go on forever. For one thing, it's expensive. But Combined Forces Governments have staked their credibility on this plan, and are thus under great pressure to produce real results –and then get out. The incursion was supposed to last all of three days, then two weeks, and now it's in its third month. All those starving towel heads back in India don't want to pay for a war, they just want fresh water to drink, and an opportunity to become a software engineer. AND continuation of U.S. sanctions has proven itself an economic and political burden that the oil and energy-producing cartel doesn't want to bear much longer. So, of course, they had to declare the mission accomplished.

No doubt perpetual high oil prices will create a new economic world order, shifting the economic balance between OPEC and the West in the direction of those who own the precious commodity.

Higher oil prices mean a transfer of wealth of historical proportions from oil-consuming countries –primarily the United States –to the Muslim world, where 70 percent of global oil reserves are concentrated. The windfall also benefits jihadists as Petro-dollars trickle their way through charities and government handouts to madrassas and mosques. Let me put that in real terms everyone can understand: At $100 oil OPEC could potentially buy Bank of America with two months worth of revenue, Apple Computers in two weeks and General Motors in just 6 days. It would take less than three years of production for OPEC to own a 20 percent (which essentially ensures a voting block in most corporations) of every S&P 500 Company.

In other words, a mere three months after the invasion, the Moslems can say the attack and occupation is, indeed, a 'Mission Accomplished', and Bush can say he's served his constituency well by compromising a bit of American pride for prolonged access energy.

As for Lowell, the mongrels don't even want to catch him, or shut down his Crusader network. In fact, just the opposite, because now every time these anti-Globalization screwballs do something somewhere and cause ordinary citizens to panic; every time Oliver Lowell threatens to inconvenience the global economy; he's just driven the price of oil up on a product that is in no danger of anyone ever stopping buying.

Mission Accomplished: INDEED.

At the Peak of My Considerable Powers–